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Creandum's $750m eighth fund is a bet that Europe's seed winners need a San Francisco door

The Stockholm firm behind Spotify, Klarna and Lovable has closed its largest fund at €668m. It will stay generalist and early, but its centre of gravity is drifting west.

Oil still life for: Creandum's $750m eighth fund is a bet that Europe's seed winners need a San Francisco door
Illustration: Invest Times

Creandum, the Stockholm venture firm that made early bets on Spotify, Klarna and, more recently, the AI coding company Lovable, said on Monday that it had closed its eighth fund at €668m, or about $750m. It is the largest fund in the firm's 23-year history and roughly a third bigger than the €500m Creandum VII, which closed in June 2024. About 30 institutional investors from Europe and the United States committed, including university endowments, pension funds and charitable foundations, according to EU-Startups.

Partner Fredrik Cassel told Bloomberg, as summarised by Briefs, that the firm plans about 30 investments over the next 2 years. The fund covers pre-seed to Series A, and Tech.eu reported that half the capital is reserved for new companies and half for follow-on rounds. That is a concentrated fund for the early stage. It also arrives with an unusually explicit message about geography: Creandum says it is expanding its work in San Francisco as American venture firms increasingly compete for deals in Europe.

A bigger fund for a market with fewer winners

The arithmetic matters. With roughly half of €668m for new positions and about 30 companies, the average initial commitment is substantially larger than the cheques most European seed investors write. Follow-on reserves of the same size give the firm the means to defend its ownership as its best companies raise much larger rounds later.

That structure reflects how returns now concentrate. Creandum's partner Peter Specht said that 1 in 6 companies the firm has backed has become a company worth $1bn or more, a striking claim for an early-stage investor. The figure is the firm's own and comes without fund-level returns, which Creandum has not disclosed. But the recent portfolio explains why limited partners were willing to increase their commitments: Lovable, Black Forest Labs, the cloud infrastructure company Modal and the AI accounting platform Rillet are among the most closely watched AI companies to have come out of the past few vintages. Cassel described the firm's AI bets as a net positive, and Creandum has also backed Emulate, a company focused on world models founded by 3 former Google DeepMind researchers.

Generalist by choice

Despite that portfolio, Creandum is not launching a dedicated AI fund. It intends to remain a generalist, on the view that AI is reshaping software, enterprise technology and infrastructure broadly rather than forming a separate sector. The firm's announcement drew a parallel with earlier periods of disruption, including the aftermath of the dotcom crash and the 2008 financial crisis, arguing that the largest companies tend to be founded when the ground is shifting.

This is a sensible stance for an early-stage investor. Sector funds work well when a category is defined and the investor's edge lies in specialist knowledge. At pre-seed and seed, where the question is whether a team can build something new, a narrow mandate can force an investor to miss the companies that redefine categories. The risk is that generalist funds become AI funds in practice, with the same exposure to fast-rising valuations that worries limited partners elsewhere. Creandum's allocation discipline over the next 2 years will show which it is.

The pull of San Francisco

The more consequential part of the announcement is geographic. Creandum has had a presence in San Francisco since 2012, according to Tech.eu, alongside its teams in Stockholm, London and Berlin. Specht said the firm had tripled its San Francisco team in the past 12 months, and Tech.eu reported that it has opened a new office there. The firm argues that roughly half of the capital invested in European technology over the past year came from American investors, while very little American startup funding came from Europe.

There are two ways to read this. The generous one is that Creandum is following its founders. Many European companies now open American offices early, and some relocate their headquarters to raise later rounds. An investor with people on the ground can help with hiring, customers and the introductions that matter for Series B and beyond, and it can see American startups that would welcome a European investor on their cap table.

The less generous reading is that even Europe's most established early-stage firms now see San Francisco as the place where value is crystallised. If Europe's best investors increasingly operate from California, the region risks becoming a supplier of founders and early capital to an American growth market, a pattern that the continent's policymakers have been trying to reverse.

What the raise says about European venture

Creandum's close comes in a year when European fundraising has been uneven but far from shut. EU-Startups noted that QuantumLight closed a €432m second fund, Earlybird raised €360m for its eighth fund and Seedcamp raised €279m across two vehicles. Creandum's fund is larger than any of those. Its limited partner base, with endowments and foundations from both sides of the Atlantic, mirrors the base of its 2024 fund, when about half of the capital came from American investors.

For institutions, the attraction is access to an established European brand with a record of early entry into companies that later reached very large valuations. For the European ecosystem, a well-funded local seed investor with American reach is a useful bridge. The question is which way traffic across that bridge will mostly flow.

Our view

Creandum VIII is a confident fund from a firm with the record to justify it, and its structure, few companies, large reserves, is the right one for a market in which a handful of winners generate most of the returns. Remaining generalist is wise at the earliest stages, provided the firm resists allowing AI valuations to dictate its pace.

The San Francisco expansion deserves the closest attention. For European founders, an early investor that can open doors in the United States is valuable, and they should expect Creandum to encourage American expansion sooner. For limited partners, the move may improve outcomes but blurs the European exposure they believed they were buying. What to watch over the next 2 years is the share of new investments made in American companies, and whether Creandum's European portfolio companies keep their headquarters, and their later rounds, in Europe.

Sources

Filed under Venture Capital. Written by Invest Times Editorial under our editorial standards. Commentary and analysis for information only, not investment advice.